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The Prediction of Criminal Recidivism in Juveniles
A Meta-Analysis
CINDY C. COTTLE
MCP Hahnemann University
RIA J. LEE
MCP Hahnemann University
KIRK HEILBRUN
MCP Hahnemann University
A meta-analysis was conducted to identify risk factors that best predict juvenile recidivism, defined as rearrest for offending of any kind. Twenty-three published studies, representing 15,265 juveniles, met inclusion criteria. Effect sizes were calculated for 30 predictors of recidivism. Eight groups of predictors were compared: (a) demographic information, (b) offense history, (c) family and social factors, (d) educational factors, (e) intellectual and achievement scores, (f) substance use history, (g) clinical factors, and (h) formal risk assessment. The domain of offense history was the strongest predictor of reoffending. Other relatively strong predictors included family problems, ineffective use of leisure time, delinquent peers, conduct problems, and nonsevere pathology.
Criminal Justice and Behavior, Vol. 28, No. 3,
367-394 (2001)
DOI: 10.1177/0093854801028003005
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