| Sign In to gain access to subscriptions and/or personal tools. |
DOI: 10.1177/0093854806291157 Actuarial Assessment of Risk for Reoffense Among Adult Sex OffendersEvaluating the Predictive Accuracy of the Static-2002 and Five Other InstrumentsUniversity of Toronto and the Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, Toronto, Canada University of Nottingham, Peaks Unit, Rampton Hospital, Nottinghamshire Healthcare Trust, Nottinghamshire, UK
University of Toronto and the Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, Toronto, Canada
University of Toronto and the Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, Toronto, Canada
Correctional Service of Canada, Ontario, Canada
University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
University of Toronto and the Centre for Addiction and Mental Health, Toronto, Canada This study extended previous research comparing a set of widely employed actuarial risk assessment schemes as well as a new instrument, the Static-2002, in a sample of 468 sex offenders followed for an average of 5.9 years. All of the risk assessment instruments (Violence Risk Appraisal Guide [VRAG], Sex Offender Risk Appraisal Guide [SORAG], Rapid Risk Assessment for Sex Offense Recidivism [RRASOR], Static-99, Static-2002, and Minnesota Sex Offender Screening Tool-Revised [MnSOST-R]) were found to predict the recidivism outcomes for which they were designed. Although significant, indices of accuracy were generally lower than those reported by the developers of these instruments, even under conditions that have been shown to optimize predictive performance. For serious recidivism, the predictive accuracy of the Static-2002 and SORAG was significantly superior to that of the RRASOR, and the SORAG was significantly superior to the MnSOST-R as well. There were no significant differences among instruments in accuracy of predicting sexual recidivism.
Key Words: sex offenders recidivism prediction actuarial risk assessment Static-2002 Static-99 RRASOR VRAG SORAG MnSOST-R
This article has been cited by other articles:
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||

