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Criminal Justice and Behavior
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Savry Risk Assessment in Violent Dutch Adolescents

Relation to Sentencing and Recidivism

Henny P.B. Lodewijks

Rentray Juvenile Correctional and Treatment Facility, hlodewijks{at}rentray.nl

Theo A.H. Doreleijers

VU University Medical Center

Corine De Ruiter

Maastricht University

This study examines the predictive validity of the Structured Assessment of Violence Risk in Youth (SAVRY) by examining relationships between SAVRY scores and violent reoffending during a 3-year period after sentencing. Two types of sentences were studied: a mandatory treatment order (N = 77) and a juvenile prison sentence (N = 40). The predictive validity of the SAVRY was significant for the two types of sentences. The predictive validity of the unstructured clinical judgment proved to be not significant. Support was found for the hypothesis that the juvenile court's sentence (treatment versus detention) might have been influenced by the unstructured clinical risk assessment of the mental health experts, even though this assessment is a poor predictor of violent reoffending.

Key Words: sentencing • youth violence • risk assessment • SAVRY • predictive validity

Criminal Justice and Behavior, Vol. 35, No. 6, 696-709 (2008)
DOI: 10.1177/0093854808316146
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 Criminal Justice and BehaviorHome page
M. E. Olver, K. C. Stockdale, and J. S. Wormith
Risk Assessment With Young Offenders: A Meta-Analysis of Three Assessment Measures
Criminal Justice and Behavior, April 1, 2009; 36(4): 329 - 353.
[Abstract] [PDF]