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Criminal Justice and Behavior
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Predicting Recidivism by Mentally Disordered Offenders Using the LSI-R:SV

A. Murray Ferguson

Victorian Institute of Forensic Mental Health (Forensicare) and the Centre for Behavioural Science, Monash University, Murray.ferguson{at}med.monash.edu.au

James R.P. Ogloff

Victorian Institute of Forensic Mental Health (Forensicare) and the Centre for Behavioural Science, Monash University

Lindsay Thomson

Carstairs Hospital, Scotland

The Level of Service Inventory—Revised: Screening Version (LSI-R:SV) has proven to validly predict reoffending in general offender populations but has not previously been studied specifically with offenders who have a major mental illness, including those with a dual diagnosis. This research project measures the validity of the LSI-R:SV for use with 208 mentally ill offenders who were released from a secure forensic hospital in Melbourne, Australia. Results indicate that the LSI-R:SV is a good predictor of recidivism among mentally disordered offenders. However, the LSI-R:SV does not reliably predict recidivism in individuals who attracted a dual diagnosis. Further research needs to reevaluate risk factors associated with recidivism in offenders with a dual diagnosis.

Key Words: risk assessment • dual diagnosis • mentally ill (disordered) offender • violence risk • recidivism

Criminal Justice and Behavior, Vol. 36, No. 1, 5-20 (2009)
DOI: 10.1177/0093854808326525
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